Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Kyrgyzstan has a probability of 32.05% and a draw has a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Kyrgyzstan win is 1-0 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).