International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2026 2.00pm
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

Kenya vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 2.00pm
Lesotho 1 - 1 Kenya

Lesotho

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 2.00pm
Lesotho 1 - 1 Kenya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw has a probability of 26.71% and a win for Lesotho has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Lesotho win it is 0-1 (7.99%).

Result

Kenya 46.99% (-0.30)
Draw 26.71% (+0.14)
Lesotho 26.3% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.61% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 28.39% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 46.76% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 53.24% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 25.66% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 74.34% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 14.39% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 85.61% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Kenya 36.89%
Draw 45.89%
Lesotho 17.22%

Team To Score First

Kenya 58.76% (-0.07)
No Goal 9.1% (+0.10)
Lesotho 32.14% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 29.25%
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 60.09%
Over 9 20.67%
Equal 9 8.58%
Under 9 70.75%
Over 10.5 14.23%
Under 10.5 85.77%

Kenya Goals

Over 1.5 42.74% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 57.26% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 19.16% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 80.84% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 6.79% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 93.21% (+0.24)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 60.14% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 39.86% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 26.47% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 73.53% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.5% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.49% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.51% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Kenya 46.99%
Draw 26.71%
Lesotho 26.3%
Kenya
1-0 @ 11.3% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.75% (-0.24)
Total : 46.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.1% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 26.71%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 7.99% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.35% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.28% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.45% (+0.03)
Total : 26.3%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
  • T. Makhele 70' goal
  • goal Frank Onyango Odhiambo 12'