International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2026 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
  • M. Bajaber 8' goal
  • M. Bajaber 52' goal
  • L. Ouma 84' goal
  • L. Ouma 88' goal
  • redcard Sekhoane Moerane 53'

Kenya vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kenya

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 3.30pm
Palestine 0 - 0 Kenya

Lesotho

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 4, 2026 2.00pm
Lesotho 1 - 1 Kenya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.71% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%) , while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (7.95%).

Result

Kenya 46.86% (-0.14)
Draw 26.71%
Lesotho 26.43% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.92% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.79% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 28.21% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 47.06% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 52.94% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 25.96% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 74.04% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 14.64% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 85.36% (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Kenya 36.89%
Draw 45.89%
Lesotho 17.22%

Team To Score First

Kenya 58.79% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.06% (-0.04)
Lesotho 32.15% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 29.25%
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 60.09%
Over 9 20.67%
Equal 9 8.58%
Under 9 70.75%
Over 10.5 14.23%
Under 10.5 85.77%

Kenya Goals

Over 1.5 42.83% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 57.17% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 19.28% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 80.72% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 6.88% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.12% (-0.09)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 60.32% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 39.68% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 26.77% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 73.23% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 8.71% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 91.29% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 2.58% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.42% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Kenya 46.86%
Draw 26.71%
Lesotho 26.44%
Kenya
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.82% (+0.08)
Total : 46.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.02)
Total : 26.71%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.52% (+0.07)
Total : 26.44%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 4, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
  • Sera Motebang 12' yellowcard
  • Tsepo Toloane 49' yellowcard
  • T. Makhele 70' goal
  • Mohlomi Makhetha 72' yellowcard
  • goal Frank Onyango Odhiambo 12'
  • yellowcard Richard Odada 22'
  • yellowcard Stanley Wilson 67'