Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kenya win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw has a probability of 26.71% and a win for Lesotho has a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Lesotho win it is 0-1 (7.99%).