Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Jordan James 37' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 38' goal
  • Neco Williams 48' goal
  • Ethan Ampadu  90'+3' yellowcard
  • Sorba Thomas 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Oscar Bobb 11'
  • redcard Torbjørn Heggem 46'
  • yellowcard Martin Ødegaard  90'+3'

Wales vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wales

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Portugal 1 - 0 Wales

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Norway 3 - 2 Denmark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norway win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Wales has a probability of 32.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Wales win is 1-0 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result

Wales 32.25%
Draw 24.57%
Norway 43.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.28%
Under 1.5 24.72%
Over 2.5 52.65%
Under 2.5 47.35%
Over 3.5 31.14%
Under 3.5 68.86%
Over 4.5 19.04%
Under 4.5 80.96%

First Half Winner

Wales 31.35%
Draw 38.14%
Norway 30.51%

Team To Score First

Wales 49.13%
No Goal 7.28%
Norway 43.59%

Corners

Over 8 49.73%
Equal 8 11.07%
Under 8 39.2%
Over 9 39.11%
Equal 9 10.62%
Under 9 50.27%
Over 10.5 29.68%
Under 10.5 70.32%

Wales Goals

Over 1.5 33.94%
Under 1.5 66.06%
Over 2.5 15.58%
Under 2.5 84.42%
Over 3.5 5.56%
Under 3.5 94.44%

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 73.29%
Under 0.5 26.71%
Over 1.5 42%
Under 1.5 58%
Over 2.5 18.74%
Under 2.5 81.26%
Over 3.5 7.18%
Under 3.5 92.82%

Score analysis

Wales 32.26%
Draw 24.56%
Norway 43.22%
Wales
1-0 @ 7.25%
2-1 @ 6.68%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.64%
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 32.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.56%
Norway
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 6.93%
Total : 43.22%