Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 7.45pm
Arena Naţională

Romania vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sweden 2 - 1 Romania

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sweden 2 - 1 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Romania win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Sweden has a probability of 28.66% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Sweden win is 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result

Romania 48.48% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 22.9% ▲ (+0.60)
Sweden 28.66% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.88% ▼ (-1.73)

Goals

Over 1.5 81% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 1.5 19% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 2.5 59.23% ▼ (-1.77)
Under 2.5 40.77% ▲ (+1.77)
Over 3.5 36.22% ▼ (-2.15)
Under 3.5 63.78% ▲ (+2.15)
Over 4.5 22.27% ▼ (-2.36)
Under 4.5 77.73% ▲ (+2.36)

First Half Winner

Romania 39.84% ▼ (-1.32)
Draw 40.08% ▲ (+0.36)
Sweden 20.09% ▲ (+0.97)

Team To Score First

Romania 62.85% ▲ (+0.21)
No Goal 5.01% ▲ (+0.34)
Sweden 32.14% ▼ (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 56.58% ▼ (-2.18)
Equal 8 10.95% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 32.46% ▲ (+2.02)
Over 9 45.52% ▼ (-2.16)
Equal 9 11.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 43.42% ▲ (+2.18)
Over 10.5 35.21% ▼ (-1.97)
Under 10.5 64.79% ▲ (+1.98)

Romania Goals

Over 1.5 50.21% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 1.5 49.79% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 2.5 25.23% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 2.5 74.77% ▲ (+1.59)
Over 3.5 10.85% ▼ (-1.60)
Under 3.5 89.15% ▲ (+1.61)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 64.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.42% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 66.58% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 13.35% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 86.65% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 4.6% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 3.5 95.4% ▲ (+0.55)

Score analysis

Romania 48.47%
Draw 22.9%
Sweden 28.65%
Romania
2-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.48)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 10.62% ▼ (-1.58)
Total : 48.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.34)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.9%
Sweden
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.52)
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Strawberry Arena
  • Alexander Isak 20' goal
  • Viktor Gyökeres 43' goal
  • goal Dennis Man 29'
  • yellowcard Răzvan Marin 37'
  • yellowcard Virgil Ghiță  45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Screciu 83'
  • yellowcard Dennis Man 86'
  • yellowcard Andrei Coubiș 90'+1'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nicolae Stanciu 23' yellowcard
  • Nicusor Bancu 55' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Berg 18'
  • goal Robin Quaison 34'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 50'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 23, 2019 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Quaison 33' goal
  • Viktor Claesson 40' goal
  • Gustav Svensson 90' yellowcard
  • Emil Krafth 90' yellowcard
  • goal Claudiu Keseru 58'
  • yellowcard Dragos Grigore 72'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 79'
  • yellowcard Cristian Sapunaru 82'
International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2018 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)
  • Dorin Rotariu 57' goal
  • Claudiu Keseru 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Durmaz 65'