Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
LIVE Stadion Narodowy
  • Robert Lewandowski 24' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 42' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 47' goal
  • Virgil Ghiță 49' goal
  • Karol Świderski 57' yellowcard
  • Piotr Zielinski 62' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 66' goal
  • redcard Radu Drăgușin 22'
  • yellowcard Virgil Ghiță 35'
  • yellowcard Tudor Băluță 39'
  • yellowcard Andrei Borza 73'

Poland vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Romania

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sweden 2 - 1 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw has a probability of 24.5% and a win for Romania has a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Romania win it is 0-1 (7.04%).

Result

Poland 53.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 24.5%
Romania 22.45% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.84% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.63% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.32%
Under 4.5 84.68%

First Half Winner

Poland 35.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Romania 20.15%

Team To Score First

Poland 58.36% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Romania 34.22% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.94% ▼ (-0.49)
Equal 8 12.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 8 36.71% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 9 39.01% ▼ (-0.38)
Equal 9 11.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 49.06% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 10.5 28.45% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 10.5 71.54% ▲ (+0.25)

Poland Goals

Over 1.5 47.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 22.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 77.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.35% ▼ (-0.03)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5 56.96% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 43.04% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 23.29% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 76.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 7.35%
Under 2.5 92.65%
Over 3.5 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Poland 53.06%
Draw 24.5%
Romania 22.44%
Poland
1-0 @ 12.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.56%
Total : 53.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.5%
Romania
0-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.44%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Jun 10, 2017 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 29' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 57' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 62' goal
  • goal Bogdan Stancu 77'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Nov 11, 2016 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 11'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 83'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 91'