Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE Stadion Bilino Polje
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 61'

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sweden 2 - 1 Romania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Sweden has a probability of 30.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Sweden win is 1-2 (7.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).

Result

Bosnia-Herzegovina 45.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 23.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Sweden 30.66% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.11% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 20.89% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 56.64% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 43.36% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 33.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 66.31% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 20.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.72% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Bosnia-Herzegovina 35.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 41.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Sweden 23.52% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Bosnia-Herzegovina 51.49% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 5.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Sweden 42.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.65% ▼ (-0.46)
Equal 8 11.85% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 39.49% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 9 37.4% ▼ (-0.38)
Equal 9 11.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 51.35% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 10.5 27.56% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 72.44% ▲ (+0.29)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 1.5 46.57% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 1.5 53.43% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 22.54% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 77.46% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 8.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.08% ▼ (-0.08)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 65.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 33.81% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 66.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 13.69% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.78%
Under 3.5 95.22%

Score analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 45.85%
Draw 23.48%
Sweden 30.64%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 45.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 23.48%
Sweden
1-2 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 30.64%