Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 16, 2026 5.00pm
Laugardalsvöllur

Iceland vs Luxembourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Luxembourg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iceland win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw has a probability of 23.99% and a win for Luxembourg has a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.65%) , while for a Luxembourg win it is 1-2 (6.25%).

Result

Iceland 52.62% ▲ (+0.80)
Draw 23.99% ▼ (-0.21)
Luxembourg 23.39% ▼ (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.77% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 1.5 21.23% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 2.5 56.57% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 43.43% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 33.79% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 66.21% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 4.5 21.01% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 78.99% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Iceland 41.41%
Draw 39.22%
Luxembourg 19.37%

Team To Score First

Iceland 61.21% ▲ (+0.07)
No Goal 6.18% ▼ (-0.09)
Luxembourg 32.61% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.17%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 40.52%
Over 9 37.44%
Equal 9 10.72%
Under 9 51.83%
Over 10.5 28.05%
Under 10.5 71.95%

Iceland Goals

Over 1.5 52.23% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 47.77% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 2.5 27.4% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 72.6% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 3.5 12.18% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 87.82% ▼ (-0.31)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5 58.75% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 0.5 41.25% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 1.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 10% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 90% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.88% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Iceland 52.62%
Draw 24%
Luxembourg 23.39%
Iceland
1-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.15)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11.74% ▲ (+0.31)
Total : 52.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24%
Luxembourg
1-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.12)
0-1 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.18)
0-2 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 23.39%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Leandro Barreiro 72' yellowcard
  • Enes Mahmutovic 90' yellowcard
  • goal Andri Gudjohnsen 13'
  • yellowcard Hákon Valdimarsson 35'
  • goal Orri Óskarsson 39'
  • yellowcard Ísak Jóhannesson 59'
  • goal Victor Pálsson 73'
  • yellowcard Mikael Egill Ellertsson 78'
  • yellowcard Ísak Snær Thorvaldsson 90'+1'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Laugardalsvollur
  • Orri Oskarsson 23' goal
  • Sverrir Ingi Ingason 66' yellowcard
  • Kolbeinn Finnsson 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enes Mahmutovic 20'
  • yellowcard Alessio Curci 44'
  • goal Gerson Rodrigues 46'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Maxime Chanot 82'
  • yellowcard Anthony Moris 90'+4'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 8, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de Luxembourg
  • Maxime Chanot 9' goal
  • Enes Mahmutovic 13' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 15' yellowcard
  • Yvandro Borges Sanches 70' goal
  • Danel Sinani 89' goal
  • yellowcard Hordur Magnusson 39'
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 56'
  • redcard Hordur Magnusson 73'
  • yellowcard Isak Bergmann Johannesson 85'
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 88'