Nations League Gameweek 6
Nov 15, 2026 5.00pm
Bolt Arena

Finland vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

San Marino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 84.36%. A draw has a probability of 10.3% and a win for San Marino has a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 3-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.59%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.97%) , while for a San Marino win it is 0-1 (2.15%).

Result

Finland 84.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 10.3%
San Marino 5.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

33.12% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 14.76% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 67.89% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 32.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 47.5% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 52.5% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 42.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 57.71% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Finland 71.34%
Draw 23.82%
San Marino 4.84%

Team To Score First

Finland 85.4% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
San Marino 10.33% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.26%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 48.44%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 39.74%
Over 10.5 37.19%
Under 10.5 62.81%

Finland Goals

Over 1.5 77.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 58.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 41.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 58.64% ▲ (+0.04)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 22.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 77.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 5.21% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 94.79% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 0.64%
Under 2.5 99.36%
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

Score analysis

Finland 84.36%
Draw 10.32%
San Marino 5.38%
Finland
3-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 41.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 84.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.97%
0-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.32%
San Marino
0-1 @ 2.15%
1-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 5.38%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 3
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Alessandro Golinucci 51' redcard
  • Cristian Meloni 86' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 5'
  • goal Adrian Svanbäck 14'
  • goal Benjamin Källman 33'
  • yellowcard Adam Markhiev 43'
  • goal Leo Walta 50'
  • goal Leo Walta 55'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 79'
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 88'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Matteo Vitaioli 24' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Tosi 56' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Capicchioni 68' yellowcard
  • Manuel Battistini 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Zafferani 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Filippo Berardi 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Galvez 35'
  • goal Pyry Soiri 50'
  • goal Pyry Soiri 58'
  • yellowcard Richard Jensen 90'+6'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Glen Kamara 16' goal
  • Benjamin Kallman 39' goal
  • Daniel Hakans 65' goal
  • Daniel Hakans 72' goal
  • Daniel Hakans 74' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 76' goal