Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm

Belarus vs San Marino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

San Marino

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw has a probability of 20.91% and a win for San Marino has a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.19%) , while for a San Marino win it is 0-1 (5.11%).

Result

Belarus 63.09%
Draw 20.91%
San Marino 16%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.1%
Under 1.5 22.9%
Over 2.5 55.73%
Under 2.5 44.27%
Over 3.5 33.4%
Under 3.5 66.6%
Over 4.5 21.97%
Under 4.5 78.03%

First Half Winner

Belarus 41.34%
Draw 41.86%
San Marino 16.79%

Team To Score First

Belarus 64.15%
No Goal 6.59%
San Marino 29.26%

Corners

Over 8 39.74%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 48.88%
Over 9 29.67%
Equal 9 10.07%
Under 9 60.26%
Over 10.5 21.42%
Under 10.5 78.58%

Belarus Goals

Over 1.5 58.11%
Under 1.5 41.89%
Over 2.5 33.31%
Under 2.5 66.69%
Over 3.5 15.92%
Under 3.5 84.08%

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5 48.8%
Under 0.5 51.2%
Over 1.5 18.81%
Under 1.5 81.19%
Over 2.5 5.53%
Under 2.5 94.47%
Over 3.5 1.53%
Under 3.5 98.47%

Score analysis

Belarus 63.09%
Draw 20.9%
San Marino 16.01%
Belarus
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 15.69%
Total : 63.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19%
0-0 @ 6.59%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.9%
San Marino
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.22%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 16.01%

Head to Head

Nations League
Nov 18, 2018 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Manuel Battistini 33' yellowcard
  • Fabio Tomassini 77' yellowcard
  • goal Stanislav Dragun 8'
  • goal Anton Saroka 52'
Nations League
Sep 8, 2018 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT