Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.