Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Andorra win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.