Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Pakistan had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Pakistan win was 1-0 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.