Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 75.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.08% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.31%) and 3-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%) , while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.