Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 72.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cambodia had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.06%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Cambodia win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.