Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Thailand win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.