Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for San Marino has a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Azerbaijan win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a San Marino win it is 0-1 (5.22%).