Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Malta has a probability of 35.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Azerbaijan win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Malta win is 0-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).