Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 73.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.86% and a win for Malta had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 3-0 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%) , while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.