Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm

Finland vs Belarus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Belarus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 24.07% and a draw has a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-2 (6.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).

Result

Finland 52.99% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 22.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Belarus 24.07% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.74% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 35.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.86% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 21.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.62% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Finland 40.35% ▲ (+0.35)
Draw 39.31% ▼ (-0.29)
Belarus 20.34% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Finland 60.55% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Belarus 34.06% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.79% ▲ (+0.43)
Equal 8 11.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 31.81% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 9 45.27% ▲ (+0.39)
Equal 9 11.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 43.21% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 10.5 34.56% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 10.5 65.44% ▼ (-0.30)

Finland Goals

Over 1.5 52.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 72.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 88.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5 61.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 38.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 28.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 71.21% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 10.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 89.61% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.65% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Finland 52.99%
Draw 22.97%
Belarus 24.08%
Finland
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 10.98%
Total : 52.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.97%
Belarus
1-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 24.08%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2018 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion (Tampere (Tammerfors))
  • Jere Uronen 7' goal
  • Moshtagh Yaghoubi 75' goal
  • yellowcard Maksim Skavysh 25'
  • yellowcard Igor Shitov 68'