Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

San Marino vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw has a probability of 22.11% and a win for San Marino has a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10%) , while for a San Marino win it is 1-0 (5.49%).

Result

San Marino 14.41%
Draw 22.11%
Finland 63.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.21%
Under 1.5 28.79%
Over 2.5 47.33%
Under 2.5 52.67%
Over 3.5 26.86%
Under 3.5 73.14%
Over 4.5 17.56%
Under 4.5 82.44%

First Half Winner

San Marino 14.9%
Draw 41.18%
Finland 43.92%

Team To Score First

San Marino 26.47%
No Goal 8.59%
Finland 64.94%

Corners

Over 8 45.71%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 42.66%
Over 9 34.93%
Equal 9 10.78%
Under 9 54.29%
Over 10.5 25.7%
Under 10.5 74.3%

San Marino Goals

Over 1.5 14.67%
Under 1.5 85.33%
Over 2.5 3.64%
Under 2.5 96.36%
Over 3.5 0.86%
Under 3.5 99.14%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 82.41%
Under 0.5 17.59%
Over 1.5 53.07%
Under 1.5 46.93%
Over 2.5 28.6%
Under 2.5 71.4%
Over 3.5 13.24%
Under 3.5 86.76%

Score analysis

San Marino 14.41%
Draw 22.11%
Finland 63.48%
San Marino
1-0 @ 5.49%
2-1 @ 3.62%
2-0 @ 2.17%
3-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 14.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10%
0-0 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 22.11%
Finland
0-1 @ 14.71%
0-2 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-3 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 5.29%
2-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 13.21%
Total : 63.48%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
  • Matteo Vitaioli 24' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Tosi 56' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Capicchioni 68' yellowcard
  • Manuel Battistini 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Zafferani 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Filippo Berardi 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Galvez 35'
  • goal Pyry Soiri 50'
  • goal Pyry Soiri 58'
  • yellowcard Richard Jensen 90'+6'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Jun 19, 2023 5.00pm
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Glen Kamara 16' goal
  • Benjamin Kallman 39' goal
  • Daniel Hakans 65' goal
  • Daniel Hakans 72' goal
  • Daniel Hakans 74' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 76' goal