Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 6, 2026 7.45pm

Belarus vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Belarus has a probability of 22.82% and a draw has a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Belarus win is 1-0 (5.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.33%).

Result

Belarus 22.82% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 22.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Finland 54.53% ▲ (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.88% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 56.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 43.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.35% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Belarus 16.77% ▼ (-0.20)
Draw 35.34% ▲ (+0.12)
Finland 47.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Belarus 28.86% ▼ (-0.13)
No Goal 5.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Finland 65.16% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 43.82% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 44.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 9 33.33% ▼ (-0.13)
Equal 9 10.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 56.18% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 24.46% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 10.5 75.55% ▲ (+0.11)

Belarus Goals

Over 1.5 26.28% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 73.72% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 2.5 9.26% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 90.74% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 3.5 2.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.25% ▲ (+0.07)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 80.66% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 19.34% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 52.99% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 47.01% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 28.9% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 71.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 14.13% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 85.87% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

Belarus 22.82%
Draw 22.63%
Finland 54.54%
Belarus
1-0 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 22.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.63%
Finland
0-1 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.86% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 54.54%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Kaan Kairinen 73' yellowcard
  • Adam Ståhl 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artem Shumanskiy 61'
  • yellowcard Anton Lukashov 71'
International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2018 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ratinan Stadion (Tampere (Tammerfors))
  • Jere Uronen 7' goal
  • Moshtagh Yaghoubi 75' goal
  • yellowcard Maksim Skavysh 25'
  • yellowcard Igor Shitov 68'