Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 2.00pm
Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland vs Albania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

Albania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Albania has a probability of 35.84% and a draw has a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Albania win is 0-1 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Finland 38.13%
Draw 26.03%
Albania 35.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.59%
Under 1.5 26.41%
Over 2.5 50.07%
Under 2.5 49.93%
Over 3.5 28.41%
Under 3.5 71.59%
Over 4.5 15.97%
Under 4.5 84.03%

First Half Winner

Finland 29.59%
Draw 41.59%
Albania 28.82%

Team To Score First

Finland 48.57%
No Goal 7.55%
Albania 43.88%

Corners

Over 8 44.51%
Equal 8 12.52%
Under 8 42.97%
Over 9 33.02%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 55.49%
Over 10.5 23.35%
Under 10.5 76.65%

Finland Goals

Over 1.5 37.31%
Under 1.5 62.69%
Over 2.5 15.67%
Under 2.5 84.33%
Over 3.5 5.25%
Under 3.5 94.75%

Albania Goals

Over 0.5 68.76%
Under 0.5 31.24%
Over 1.5 35.58%
Under 1.5 64.42%
Over 2.5 14.58%
Under 2.5 85.42%
Over 3.5 4.84%
Under 3.5 95.16%

Score analysis

Finland 38.14%
Draw 26.03%
Albania 35.84%
Finland
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.53%
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 38.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.03%
Albania
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 35.84%