Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Israel win was 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.