Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 7.45pm
San Marino Stadium

San Marino vs Belarus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

Belarus

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belarus win with a probability of 73.16%. A draw has a probability of 15.52% and a win for San Marino has a probability of 11.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.45%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.18%) , while for a San Marino win it is 1-0 (4.05%).

Result

San Marino 11.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 15.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Belarus 73.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

37.91% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 41.99% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 61.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 30.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 69.45% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

San Marino 9.63%
Draw 31.28%
Belarus 59.09%

Team To Score First

San Marino 19.03%
No Goal 5.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Belarus 75.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 44.74%
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 44.13%
Over 9 34.48%
Equal 9 10.26%
Under 9 55.26%
Over 10.5 25.71%
Under 10.5 74.29%

San Marino Goals

Over 1.5 12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 2.83%
Under 2.5 97.17%
Over 3.5 0.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.22% ▲ (+0.02)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5 87.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 12.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 66.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 33.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 43.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

San Marino 11.34%
Draw 15.54%
Belarus 73.16%
San Marino
1-0 @ 4.05%
2-1 @ 2.5%
2-0 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 11.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.54%
Belarus
0-2 @ 12.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09%
1-3 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 26.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 73.16%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Artem Kontsevoy 46' goal
  • Roman Begunov  54' yellowcard
  • Artem Shumanskiy 65' goal
  • Maks Ebong 68' goal
  • German Barkovskiy 85' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Kalinin 86' yellowcard
  • Artem Kontsevoy 88' goal
  • yellowcard Nicola Nanni 30'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Golinucci 42'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Giacopetti 57'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Capicchioni 73'
  • yellowcard Marco Pasolini 78'
Nations League
Nov 18, 2018 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Manuel Battistini 33' yellowcard
  • Fabio Tomassini 77' yellowcard
  • goal Stanislav Dragun 8'
  • goal Anton Saroka 52'
Nations League
Sep 8, 2018 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT