Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 7.45pm
Arena Kombëtare

Albania vs Finland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions

Finland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albania win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Finland has a probability of 23.92% and a draw has a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albania win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Finland win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).

Result

Albania 54.52% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 21.56%
Finland 23.92% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.66% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 20.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 58.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 41.9% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 65.13% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 21.24% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 78.76% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Albania 40.83%
Draw 36.3%
Finland 22.87%

Team To Score First

Albania 59.31% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Finland 35.88% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.7%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 34.79%
Over 9 42.34%
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 46.3%
Over 10.5 32.01%
Under 10.5 67.99%

Albania Goals

Over 1.5 53.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 46.63% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 27.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 72.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.04)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5 60.13% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 39.87% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 71.6% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 10.51% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 89.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.67% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Albania 54.51%
Draw 21.55%
Finland 23.93%
Albania
2-1 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 54.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 21.55%
Finland
1-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 23.93%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Helsingin olympiastadion
  • Leo Walta 26' goal
  • Kaan Kairinen 40' yellowcard
  • Leo Walta 71' goal
  • goal Rey Manaj 4'
  • redcard Etrit Berisha 22'
  • yellowcard Alen Sherri 26'
  • yellowcard Berat Djimsiti 74'
  • yellowcard Myrto Uzuni 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Rolando Maran 81'