Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex
Bulgaria1 - 2Rep. Ireland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-1 Belarus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: England 5-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Bulgaria 1-1 Republic of Ireland
Bulgaria will hope to make the most of their home advantage, but they have struggled for goals in recent matches. Though Ireland's form has been poor for some time, they will take confidence from their hosts' subpar record at Stadion Hristo Botev. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
43.38% ( -0.58) | 29.03% ( 0.06) | 27.59% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 42.62% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
