Bulgaria vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.