Nations League
England
Nov 17, 2024 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Rep. Ireland
  • Noni Madueke 42' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 42' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 53' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 56' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 58' goal
  • Jarrod Bowen 76' goal
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 79' goal
  • Angel Gomes 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Scales 43'
  • yellowcard Jayson Molumby 45'+3'
  • redcard Liam Scales 51'
  • yellowcard Dara O'Shea 85'

England vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
Greece 0 - 3 England

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Nov 14, 2024 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 1 - 0 Finland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result

England 64.71% ▼ (-0.84)
Draw 20.78% ▲ (+0.24)
Republic of Ireland 14.51% ▲ (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72% ▲ (+0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.62% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 47.38% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 30.4% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 69.6% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 4.5 14.95% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 85.05% ▼ (-0.15)

England Goals

Over 0.5 86.11% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 13.89% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 58.69% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 41.31% ▲ (+0.37)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 55.42% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 0.5 44.59% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 1.5 19.4% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 1.5 80.6% ▼ (-0.82)

Score analysis

England 64.7%
Draw 20.78%
Republic of Ireland 14.51%
England
1-0 @ 12.22% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 12.06% ▼ (-0.28)
2-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.15)
4-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 64.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 20.78%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-98.54)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 14.51%

Head to Head

Nations League
Rep. Ireland
Sep 7, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Aviva Stadium
England
  • Sammie Szmodics 45' yellowcard
  • Jayson Molumby 65' yellowcard
  • Robbie Brady 68' yellowcard
  • Jake O'Brien 77' yellowcard
  • goal Declan Rice 11'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 14'
  • goal Jack Grealish 26'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 77'
International Friendlies
England
Nov 12, 2020 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Rep. Ireland
  • Harry Maguire 18' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 31' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 56' goal
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
Jun 7, 2015 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
England
  • James McCarthy 44' yellowcard
International Friendlies
England
May 29, 2013 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Rep. Ireland
  • Frank Lampard 0' goal
  • goal Shane Long 0'

Form Data

Greece 0 - 3 England
Finland 1 - 3 England
England 1 - 2 Greece
England 2 - 0 Finland
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 England
Spain 2 - 1 England
Rep. Ireland 1 - 0 Finland
Greece 2 - 0 Rep. Ireland
Finland 1 - 2 Rep. Ireland
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 Greece
Rep. Ireland 0 - 2 England
Portugal 3 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Build-up

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