UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Vasil Levski

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Belarus

Panayotov (12')
Nurnberger (31'), Milanov (56'), Popov (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kavalyow (70')
Prishchepa (10'), Ebong (53'), Karpovich (62'), Yablonski (64'), Palitsevich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Belarus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Belarus
33.51% ( -0.62)	31.33% ( 0.09)	35.16% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 38.76% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.95% (

-0.27)

69.05% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.38% (

-0.18)

86.62% (

0.17)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

-0.6)

38.33% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.58)

75.08% (

0.58)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84% (

0.21)

37.15% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.06% (

0.21)

73.94% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 33.5%

Belarus 35.15%

Draw 31.33%

Bulgaria	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 33.5%	0-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.33%	0-1 @ 14.09% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 35.15%