Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Roi Baudouin

Belgium vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Italy 0 - 2 Belgium

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Turkey 0 - 1 France

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Belgium win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for France has a probability of 33.47% and a draw has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest France win is 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.67%).

Result

Belgium 44.5% ▼ (-1.22)
Draw 21.99% ▼ (-0.04)
France 33.47% ▲ (+1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% ▼ (-0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.54% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 15.46% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 64.91% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 35.06% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 3.5 42.36% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 57.64% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 27.24% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 4.5 72.76% ▲ (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Belgium 35.77% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 35.99% ▼ (-0.16)
France 28.25% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Belgium 50.56% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.74% ▲ (+0.08)
France 45.7% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 66.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.03%
Under 8 23.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 55.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 33.42% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 44.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 55.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Belgium Goals

Over 1.5 49.77% ▼ (-1.40)
Under 1.5 50.23% ▲ (+1.40)
Over 2.5 27.01% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 2.5 72.99% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 3.5 11.56% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 88.44% ▲ (+0.57)

France Goals

Over 0.5 69.19% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 0.5 30.81% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 1.5 40.8% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 1.5 59.2% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 2.5 18.19% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 2.5 81.81% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 3.5 7.1% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 3.5 92.9% ▼ (-0.44)

Score analysis

Belgium 44.5%
Draw 21.99%
France 33.48%
Belgium
2-1 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 11.08% ▼ (-0.57)
Total : 44.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.99%
France
1-2 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.46)
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head

Nations League
Oct 14, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Roi Baudouin
  • Orel Mangala 29' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 45'+3' goal
  • Wout Faes 53' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 7'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 22'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 24'
  • goal Randal Kolo 35'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 45'
  • goal Randal Kolo 62'
  • redcard Aurelien Tchouameni 76'
  • yellowcard Mike Maignan 79'
Nations League
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Gerard Houllier
  • Kouadio Kone 4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Digne 8' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 29' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 57' goal
  • yellowcard Lois Openda 8'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 38'
European Championship
Jul 1, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Spiel-Arena
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 14' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 24' yellowcard
  • Jan Vertonghen 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 76'
  • yellowcard Domenico Tedesco 76'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 90'+3'
Nations League
Oct 7, 2021 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Yannick Carrasco 37' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 40' goal
  • Jan Vertonghen 67' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 62'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 69'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 90'
World Cup
Jul 10, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Krestovsky Stadium
  • Samuel Umtiti 51' goal
International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2015 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Yohan Cabaye 41' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Valbuena 53' goal
  • Nabil Fekir 89' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 91' goal
  • goal Marouane ­Fellaini 17'
  • goal Marouane ­Fellaini 42'
  • goal Radja Nainggolan 50'
  • goal Eden Hazard 54'