National League Gameweek 41
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
The Suit Direct Stadium

Hartlepool United vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
Boreham Wood 3 - 0 Hartlepool
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Alex Reid

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Aldershot 0 - 2 Southend
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Gus Scott-Morriss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southend United win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw has a probability of 24.99% and a win for Hartlepool United has a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a Hartlepool United win it is 1-0 (7.24%).

Result

Hartlepool United 24.73% (+1.31)
Draw 24.99% (-0.16)
Southend United 50.28% (-1.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.04% (+1.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.11% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 25.89% (-1.33)
Over 2.5 49.76% (+1.90)
Under 2.5 50.24% (-1.90)
Over 3.5 27.29% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 72.71% (-0.48)
Over 4.5 15.35% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 84.65% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Hartlepool United 20.06% (-3.66)
Draw 42.32% (-0.21)
Southend United 37.62% (+3.85)

Team To Score First

Hartlepool United 34.86% (-1.67)
No Goal 7.45% (-0.25)
Southend United 57.69% (+1.90)

Corners

Over 8 52.24% (-1.84)
Equal 8 12.11% (+0.11)
Under 8 35.66% (+1.73)
Over 9 40.42% (-1.79)
Equal 9 11.81% (-0.06)
Under 9 47.76% (+1.84)
Over 10.5 29.86% (-1.59)
Under 10.5 70.14% (+1.58)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 1.5 26.12% (+1.45)
Under 1.5 73.88% (-1.46)
Over 2.5 8.54% (+1.03)
Under 2.5 91.46% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 2.2% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.8% (-0.21)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 77.97% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 22.03% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 46.7% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 53.3% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 21.11% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.89% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.05% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 91.95% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 24.73%
Draw 24.98%
Southend United 50.27%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 6.29% (+0.54)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.25% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.63% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.1% (+0.16)
Total : 24.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.05)
Total : 24.98%
Southend United
0-1 @ 11.18% (-1.05)
1-2 @ 9.87% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.28)
0-3 @ 4.76% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.27)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.23)
Other @ 7.95% (+0.32)
Total : 50.27%

Head to Head

National League
Aug 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League Gameweek 22
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Nathan Ralph 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 23'
  • yellowcard Nathan Sheron 73'
National League Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Joe Grey 26' yellowcard
  • Louis Stephenson 48' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 49' redcard
  • Luke Waterfall 45'+11' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gomez Mancini 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cavanagh Miley 6'
  • yellowcard Oli Coker 38'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 59'
National League Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
  • Luke Waterfall 14' yellowcard
  • David Ferguson 35' yellowcard
  • Alex Lacey 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gus Scott-Morriss 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Bridge 74'
  • yellowcard Jack Bridge 74'
National League Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Jack Bridge 5' goal
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 53' goal
  • goal Tom Crawford 28'
  • goal Joe Grey 57'
  • goal Charlie Seaman 73'
League Two
Apr 6, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dan Jones 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Barrett 45'
  • goal Will Atkinson 53'
  • yellowcard David Worrall 72'