National League South
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs Truro City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 1 Chelmsford City

Truro City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Truro City 2 - 0 Maidenhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Chelmsford City 50.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 24.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Truro City 24.77% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.13% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 52.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 26.44% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 73.56% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 85.15% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 37.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 40.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Truro City 21.31% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 57.06% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Truro City 34.83% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 28.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 48.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 39.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 37.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 62.55% ▼ (-0.05)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 45.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.14%
Under 2.5 79.86%
Over 3.5 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 58.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 41.75% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 50.48%
Draw 24.75%
Truro City 24.77%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 12.32% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.54%
Total : 50.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.75%
Truro City
0-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.77%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Arthur Penney 49' redcard
National League South Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Treyew Road
  • Tyler Harvey 85' goal
  • Tyler Harvey 90'+3' goal
  • goal Osman Foyo 33'
  • yellowcard Ruaridh Donaldson 39'
  • yellowcard Charlie Ruff 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Gale 70'
National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Treyew Road
  • Tyler Harvey 11' goal
  • goal George Alexander 3'
  • goal Cameron James 33'
  • goal Ody Alfa 42'
  • goal George Alexander 55'
National League South Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Charlie Ruff 73' goal
  • Dave Winfield 85' redcard
  • goal Sam Sanders 68'
  • goal Harvey Greenslade 74'