Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.