Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.74% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.09%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.