National League
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Treyew Road
  • Ben Starkie 72' yellowcard
  • Saikou Janneh 83' yellowcard
  • T. Dean 83' yellowcard
  • K. Wilson 89' yellowcard
  • goal Regan Linney 65'
  • yellowcard Jack Ellis 67'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 67'
  • yellowcard Jack Ellis 68'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 68'
  • yellowcard L. Armstrong 75'
  • yellowcard Ephraim Yeboah 87'

Truro City vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Boston 1 - 0 Truro City
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Carlisle 3 - 0 Sutton
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.74% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.09%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%) , while for a Truro City win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Truro City 23.49% (-0.77)
Draw 24.74% (-0.41)
Carlisle United 51.76% (+1.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.31% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.22% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 25.78% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 50.14% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 49.86% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 27.8% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 72.2% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 15.43% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 84.57% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Truro City 20.22% (-1.79)
Draw 42.68% (+1.21)
Carlisle United 37.1% (+0.58)

Team To Score First

Truro City 35% (-1.08)
No Goal 7.24% (-0.03)
Carlisle United 57.76% (+1.11)

Corners

Over 8 57.77% (-2.16)
Equal 8 11.27% (+0.21)
Under 8 30.96% (+1.97)
Over 9 46.3% (-2.18)
Equal 9 11.47% (+0.01)
Under 9 42.23% (+2.16)
Over 10.5 35.57% (-2.00)
Under 10.5 64.43% (+2.00)

Truro City Goals

Over 1.5 25.07% (-0.84)
Under 1.5 74.93% (+0.85)
Over 2.5 8.15% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 91.85% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.25)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 78.93% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 21.07% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 47.93% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 52.07% (-0.80)
Over 2.5 22.1% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 77.9% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 8.21% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 91.79% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Truro City 23.49%
Draw 24.74%
Carlisle United 51.76%
Truro City
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 3.49% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.36% (+0.14)
Other @ 1.96% (-0.21)
Total : 23.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.05)
Total : 24.74%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 11.52% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 10.09% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 9.1% (+0.21)
1-3 @ 5.32% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 5% (+0.37)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.14% (+0.16)
Total : 51.76%

Head to Head

National League
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT