National League South
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Meadow
  • goal Tristan Abrahams 49'
  • goal Jett Murphy 70'

Chesham United vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Bath City 4 - 2 Chesham
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jayden Bennetts

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 3 - 3 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Chesham United 43.61% (-0.89)
Draw 25.24% (+0.27)
Chelmsford City 31.15% (+0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.46% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.85% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 20.15% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 57.71% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 42.29% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 34.84% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 65.16% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 20.44% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 79.56% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Chesham United 32.68% (+0.18)
Draw 39.85% (-1.68)
Chelmsford City 27.46% (+1.50)

Team To Score First

Chesham United 52.05% (+1.52)
No Goal 5.6% (+0.23)
Chelmsford City 42.35% (-1.75)

Corners

Over 8 50.92% (-1.13)
Equal 8 11.68% (-0.17)
Under 8 37.4% (+1.30)
Over 9 39.64% (-0.87)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.26)
Under 9 49.08% (+1.13)
Over 10.5 29.6% (-0.58)
Under 10.5 70.4% (+0.58)

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 46.28% (-0.91)
Under 1.5 53.72% (+0.91)
Over 2.5 22.32% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.68% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.23% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 91.77% (+0.25)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 68.03% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 31.97% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 36.25% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 63.75% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 14.48% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 85.52% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.93% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.07% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Chesham United 43.61%
Draw 25.24%
Chelmsford City 31.15%
Chesham United
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.34)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.1% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.10)
Other @ 7.96% (-0.23)
Total : 43.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.29)
0-0 @ 5.6% (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.81% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 25.24%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 7.72% (+0.34)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.58% (+0.41)
1-3 @ 3.27% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.66% (+0.09)
Total : 31.15%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Kane Crichlow 17' goal
  • goal Samson Esan 60'
National League South Gameweek 11
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Meadow
  • Lewis Rolfe 42' goal
  • Matt Lench 87' goal
  • goal Saleem Akanbi 37'
  • goal Jake Hyde 53'