Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.