National League South Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs AFC Totton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 7.45pm
Farnborough 0 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

AFC Totton

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 7.45pm
Chesham 0 - 0 AFC Totton
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Malachi Linton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw has a probability of 26.12% and a win for AFC Totton has a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a AFC Totton win it is 0-1 (7.29%).

Result

Chelmsford City 50.91% (-0.09)
Draw 26.12% (-0.06)
AFC Totton 22.97% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.53% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.37% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.63% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.97% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.8% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 75.2% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.68% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.32% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 39.44% (+0.01)
Draw 38.8% (+0.02)
AFC Totton 21.76% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 56.43% (+0.11)
No Goal 8.84% (-0.03)
AFC Totton 34.73% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 55.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 32.28% (-0.02)
Over 9 43.49% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 44.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 32.37%
Under 10.5 67.63%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 45.27% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 54.73% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 20.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.48% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 7.38%
Under 3.5 92.62%

AFC Totton Goals

Over 0.5 56.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.1% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.66% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 76.34% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 6.91% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.09% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.85% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.15% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 50.92%
Draw 26.11%
AFC Totton 22.98%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 7.32%
Total : 50.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.11%
AFC Totton
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.79% (+0.03)
Total : 22.98%

Head to Head

National League South
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT