Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.48% and a win for AFC Totton had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.49%) and 2-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%) , while for a AFC Totton win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.