National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Torquay Utd 4 - 1 Bath City
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Owen Windsor

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 4 - 1 Slough
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Jayden Bennetts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw has a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bath City has a probability of 25.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Bath City win it is 1-0 (7.51%).

Result

Bath City 25.34% (-0.02)
Draw 25.5% (-0.02)
Chesham United 49.16% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.14% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.47%
Under 2.5 50.53%
Over 3.5 27.89%
Under 3.5 72.11%
Over 4.5 15.38% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.62% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Bath City 21.31%
Draw 41.48%
Chesham United 37.21%

Team To Score First

Bath City 34.38% (-0.03)
No Goal 7.4%
Chesham United 58.22% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.38% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 32.48% (+0.05)
Over 9 45.16% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 43.62% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 34.74% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 65.26% (+0.06)

Bath City Goals

Over 1.5 26.8%
Under 1.5 73.2%
Over 2.5 8.93%
Under 2.5 91.07%
Over 3.5 2.41%
Under 3.5 97.59%

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 77.54% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 22.46% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 54.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 20.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.66%
Under 3.5 92.34%

Score analysis

Bath City 25.35%
Draw 25.5%
Chesham United 49.17%
Bath City
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 6.15%
2-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.79%
3-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.5%
Chesham United
0-1 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 9.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.07%
0-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.49%
Total : 49.17%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • Jordan Alves 69' goal
  • goal Karl Oliyide 55'
National League South Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Meadow
  • Jack Cawley 7' yellowcard
  • goal Arafat Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim 49'
  • yellowcard Harvey Wiles-Richards 83'