Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.