National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
The Meadow

Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 24, 2026 7.45pm
Chesham 1 - 2 Hornchurch
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Karl Oliyide

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 2 - 1 Bath City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 27.8% and a draw has a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 0-1 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

Chesham United 44.82%
Draw 27.38%
Tonbridge Angels 27.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.85%
Under 1.5 29.15%
Over 2.5 45.66%
Under 2.5 54.34%
Over 3.5 24.1%
Under 3.5 75.9%
Over 4.5 12.91%
Under 4.5 87.09%

First Half Winner

Chesham United 33.06%
Draw 44.37%
Tonbridge Angels 22.58%

Team To Score First

Chesham United 53.17%
No Goal 8.72%
Tonbridge Angels 38.11%

Corners

Over 8 50.72%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 37.2%
Over 9 39.07%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 49.28%
Over 10.5 28.75%
Under 10.5 71.25%

Chesham United Goals

Over 1.5 40.51%
Under 1.5 59.49%
Over 2.5 16.84%
Under 2.5 83.16%
Over 3.5 5.6%
Under 3.5 94.4%

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 62.27%
Under 0.5 37.73%
Over 1.5 27.38%
Under 1.5 72.62%
Over 2.5 8.94%
Under 2.5 91.06%
Over 3.5 2.45%
Under 3.5 97.55%

Score analysis

Chesham United 44.83%
Draw 27.38%
Tonbridge Angels 27.82%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 44.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.72%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.38%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.82%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Meadow
  • goal Gianluca Zanre Botti 69'
National League South Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Trevan Robinson 17' goal
  • Ethan Sutcliffe 43' yellowcard
  • Ronny Nelson 66' yellowcard
  • Scott Wagstaff 87' yellowcard
  • Makise Evans 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Makise Evans 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Cawley 45'
  • redcard Jack Cawley 90'+1'