Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.