National League South
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Chigwell Construction Stadium
  • Kien Connelly 54' goal
  • Kayden Harrack 57' goal
  • Aramide Oteh 86' yellowcard
  • goal Lyle Taylor 5'
  • goal Harry Barbrook 88'
  • goal Jett Murphy 90'+7'

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 3 - 0 Dag & Red
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 3 - 0 Enfield Town
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result

Dagenham & Redbridge 39.44% (-0.11)
Draw 26.24%
Chelmsford City 34.32% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.98% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 24.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.14% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.86% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.3% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.7% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.21% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Dagenham & Redbridge 29.58%
Draw 42.15%
Chelmsford City 28.26%

Team To Score First

Dagenham & Redbridge 45.65%
No Goal 6.56% (-0.02)
Chelmsford City 47.79% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.67% (-0.37)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.23% (+0.36)
Over 9 48.2% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.47% (-0.04)
Under 9 40.33% (+0.37)
Over 10.5 37.3% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 62.7% (+0.29)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 1.5 40.25% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.75% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.74% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.26% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5.52% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.48% (+0.04)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 69.77% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 30.23% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 36.29% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 63.71% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.25% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.75% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.73% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.27% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 39.43%
Draw 26.25%
Chelmsford City 34.32%
Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.34% (-0.04)
Total : 39.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.25%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 8.27% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.4% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.55% (+0.02)
Total : 34.32%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jason Adigun 43' goal
  • goal Stanley Leech 16'
  • goal Harvey Broad 63'
  • goal Dylan Stephenson 90'+3'
  • goal Harvey Broad 90'+8'