National League South
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Josh Rees 38' goal
  • Giles Phillips 45' goal
  • George Alexander 75' goal

AFC Hornchurch vs Dagenham & Redbridge - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Farnborough 2 - 2 Hornchurch
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Dag & Red 3 - 1 Hampton
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (9.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 38.14% (-0.05)
Draw 27.66%
Dagenham & Redbridge 34.2% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.2% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 46.93%
Under 2.5 53.07% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.13% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.87% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 13.38%
Under 4.5 86.62%

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 31.13%
Draw 42.24%
Dagenham & Redbridge 26.63%

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 47.7%
No Goal 8.37%
Dagenham & Redbridge 43.93%

Corners

Over 8 60.09%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 48.08%
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 39.91%
Over 10.5 36.68%
Under 10.5 63.32%

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 36.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 63.59% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.23% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.77% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.48%
Under 3.5 95.52%

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5 67.76% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 32.24% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.71% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.3% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.7% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.74% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.26% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 38.14%
Draw 27.68%
Dagenham & Redbridge 34.18%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.29% (-0.01)
Total : 38.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 27.68%
Dagenham & Redbridge
0-1 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.9% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.45% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 34.18%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 26, 2025 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Stanley Leech 53' goal
  • 76' redcard
  • Christian Maghoma 76' redcard
  • Dermi Lusala 90' goal
  • goal Giles Phillips 7'
  • goal Henry Sandat 44'
  • goal Josh Rees 90'+6'