National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Dag & Red 3 - 3 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Maidenhead 2 - 1 Hampton
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Josh Umerah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Maidenhead United has a probability of 27.66% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win is 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

Chelmsford City 45.4% (+0.12)
Draw 27% (-0.08)
Maidenhead United 27.66% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.66% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.76% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 28.24% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 46.38% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 53.62% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 24.72% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 75.28% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 13.13% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 86.87% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 33.72% (+0.13)
Draw 42.92% (-0.08)
Maidenhead United 23.37% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 51.81% (+0.18)
No Goal 8.25% (-0.16)
Maidenhead United 39.94% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.84% (+0.87)
Equal 8 11.51% (-0.05)
Under 8 33.65% (-0.83)
Over 9 43.37% (+0.83)
Equal 9 11.46% (+0.05)
Under 9 45.16% (-0.87)
Over 10.5 32.87% (+0.72)
Under 10.5 67.13% (-0.72)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 41.31% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 58.69% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 17.1% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 82.9% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 5.75% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.25% (-0.10)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5 62.52% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 37.48% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 27.63% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 72.37% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 8.98% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 91.02% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.47% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.53% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 45.39%
Draw 26.99%
Maidenhead United 27.67%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.69% (+0.10)
Total : 45.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.99%
Maidenhead United
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.41% (+0.04)
Total : 27.67%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT