Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.