Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.