National League South Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Hampton 2 - 2 Hornchurch
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 0 AFC Totton
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for AFC Hornchurch has a probability of 33.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 33.58% (-2.29)
Draw 26.82% (-0.31)
Chelmsford City 39.55% (+2.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% (+4.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.73% (+3.72)
Under 1.5 25.27% (-3.72)
Over 2.5 50.6% (+4.70)
Under 2.5 49.4% (-4.70)
Over 3.5 28.44% (+4.13)
Under 3.5 71.57% (-4.12)
Over 4.5 15.31% (+2.65)
Under 4.5 84.69% (-2.65)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 27.66% (-1.79)
Draw 39.94% (-0.04)
Chelmsford City 32.4% (+1.83)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 44.93% (+0.39)
No Goal 7.39% (-1.52)
Chelmsford City 47.68% (+1.14)

Corners

Over 8 62.17% (+0.86)
Equal 8 11.01% (+0.10)
Under 8 26.82% (-0.97)
Over 9 50.56% (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.61% (+0.19)
Under 9 37.83% (-0.86)
Over 10.5 39.33% (+0.44)
Under 10.5 60.67% (-0.44)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 34.54% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 65.46% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 12.77% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 87.23% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 3.82% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.18% (+0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% (+3.68)
Under 0.5 27.73% (-3.67)
Over 1.5 39.86% (+5.43)
Under 1.5 60.14% (-5.43)
Over 2.5 16.6% (+3.69)
Under 2.5 83.4% (-3.68)
Over 3.5 5.4% (+1.59)
Under 3.5 94.6% (-1.59)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 33.59%
Draw 26.83%
Chelmsford City 39.54%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 8.9% (-1.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.89)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.26)
Other @ 3.73% (-0.11)
Total : 33.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-1.52)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.90)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.09% (+0.08)
Total : 26.83%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 8.94% (-1.21)
1-2 @ 8.88% (+0.48)
0-2 @ 6.42% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.16% (+0.73)
0-3 @ 3.05% (+0.48)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.47)
Other @ 5.31% (+1.50)
Total : 39.54%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South
National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Finley Wilkinson 17' goal
  • Finley Wilkinson 73' goal
  • goal Tommy Wood 86'
National League South Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Tom Wraight 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Appiah 19'
  • yellowcard Jordan Greenidge 30'
  • goal Kane Crichlow 33'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 45'
  • yellowcard Ruaridh Donaldson 90'+1'