National League South Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Dominic Poleon 33' yellowcard
  • Dominic Poleon 34' yellowcard
  • Josh Rees 48' goal
  • Angelo Balanta 54' goal
  • goal Harry Barbrook 5'
  • goal Kane Crichlow 16'
  • goal Jack Barham 77'

AFC Hornchurch vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 1 - 0 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Maidenhead
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 38.45% (+0.02)
Draw 26.2% (+0.13)
Chelmsford City 35.3% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.87% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.12% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 22.88% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 54.04% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 45.96% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 31.02% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 68.98% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 17.28% (+0.46)
Under 4.5 82.72% (-0.46)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 30.27% (-0.34)
Draw 41.56% (+0.46)
Chelmsford City 28.18% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 46.48% (-0.36)
No Goal 6.27% (-0.06)
Chelmsford City 47.25% (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 59.89% (+1.43)
Equal 8 10.87% (-0.19)
Under 8 29.24% (-1.25)
Over 9 48.64% (+1.50)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.08)
Under 9 40.11% (-1.43)
Over 10.5 37.9% (+1.43)
Under 10.5 62.1% (-1.43)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 40.23% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 59.77% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 16.97% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 83.03% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 5.53% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 94.47% (-0.19)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 70.98% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 29.02% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 37.91% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 62.09% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 15.27% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.73% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.15)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 38.45%
Draw 26.19%
Chelmsford City 35.31%
AFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.09)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.14)
Other @ 5.29% (+0.13)
Total : 38.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.06)
Total : 26.19%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 8.44% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.54%
Other @ 4.95% (+0.09)
Total : 35.31%

Head to Head

National League South
Nov 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South
National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Finley Wilkinson 17' goal
  • Finley Wilkinson 73' goal
  • goal Tommy Wood 86'
National League South Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Tom Wraight 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Appiah 19'
  • yellowcard Jordan Greenidge 30'
  • goal Kane Crichlow 33'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 45'
  • yellowcard Ruaridh Donaldson 90'+1'