National League South
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Angelo Balanta 88' goal

AFC Hornchurch vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Maidstone 5 - 4 Hornchurch
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 4 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 38.89%
Draw 25.33%
Ebbsfleet 35.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.31%
Under 1.5 21.69%
Over 2.5 55.72%
Under 2.5 44.28%
Over 3.5 33.14%
Under 3.5 66.86%
Over 4.5 18.72%
Under 4.5 81.28%

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 31.52%
Draw 40.53%
Ebbsfleet 27.95%

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 48.34%
No Goal 5.7%
Ebbsfleet 45.96%

Corners

Over 8 64.13% (-0.05)
Equal 8 10.47%
Under 8 25.4% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.91% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 35.87% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.88% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 58.12% (+0.04)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 41.39%
Under 1.5 58.61%
Over 2.5 17.96%
Under 2.5 82.04%
Over 3.5 6.1%
Under 3.5 93.9%

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 71.24%
Under 0.5 28.76%
Over 1.5 39.08%
Under 1.5 60.92%
Over 2.5 16.45%
Under 2.5 83.55%
Over 3.5 5.58%
Under 3.5 94.42%

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 38.89%
Draw 25.31%
Ebbsfleet 35.74%
AFC Hornchurch
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 5.83%
Total : 38.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 25.31%
Ebbsfleet
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 5.31%
Total : 35.74%

Head to Head

National League South
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT