Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.