Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.