National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels vs Ebbsfleet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 1 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 2 - 1 Slough
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 36.36% and a draw has a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 2-1 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result

Tonbridge Angels 36.36% (-0.11)
Draw 25.63%
Ebbsfleet 38.02% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.34% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.09% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 66.91% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 19.11% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.89% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Tonbridge Angels 29.23%
Draw 40.18%
Ebbsfleet 30.6%

Team To Score First

Tonbridge Angels 45.17%
No Goal 5.83% (-0.01)
Ebbsfleet 49% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.61% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.1% (-0.02)
Under 8 25.29% (+0.12)
Over 9 51.73% (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.88% (-0.03)
Under 9 36.39% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 40.14% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 59.86% (+0.02)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 1.5 39.62% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 60.38% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 16.79% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.21% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.89% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.11% (+0.02)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 72.78% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.22% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 41.07% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 58.93% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 17.86% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 82.14% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.35% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 93.65% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 36.36%
Draw 25.62%
Ebbsfleet 38.02%
Tonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.59% (-0.01)
Total : 36.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.62%
Ebbsfleet
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.05% (+0.06)
Total : 38.02%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 26, 2025 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Chapman 79' goal
  • yellowcard 39'
  • yellowcard 63'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Longmead Stadium
  • goal Kwame Thomas 9'
  • goal Toby Edser 14'
  • goal Kwame Thomas 45'
National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Scott Wagstaff 85' goal
  • goal Josh Wright 42'
National League South Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Kieran Monlouis 47' goal
  • goal Ben Swift 10'
  • goal Sonny Miles 62'
National League South Gameweek 39
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 7'
National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Dominic Poleon 7' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 14' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 27' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 29' goal
  • Adam Mekki 80' goal
  • goal Ibrahim Olutade 73'