National League South
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
5
4
HT : 4 4
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • John Gilbert 6' goal
  • Riley Court 10' goal
  • Hamzad Kargbo 12' goal
  • Taylor Foran 32' goal
  • Sam Corne 59' goal
  • goal Josh Rees 25'
  • goal Angelo Balanta 30'
  • goal Josh Rees 42'
  • goal Angelo Balanta 45'+2'

Maidstone United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 0 - 2 Maidstone
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Riley Court

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Hornchurch 3 - 0 Dag & Red
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.14% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.38%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a AFC Hornchurch win it was 0-1 (6.52%).

Result

Maidstone United 52.83% (-0.02)
Draw 25.14% (+0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 22.09% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.67% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 25.33% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 50.6% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.4% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.8% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.2% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 15.58% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.42% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Maidstone United 36.65%
Draw 40.79%
AFC Hornchurch 22.56%

Team To Score First

Maidstone United 56.62% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.04% (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 36.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.95% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.93% (-0.02)
Under 8 34.13% (-0.04)
Over 9 42.16% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.02)
Under 9 46.05% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 31.47% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 68.53% (-0.10)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 1.5 48.75% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 51.25% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 22.78% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 77.22% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.31% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.69% (-0.02)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 58.71% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 41.29% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 24.68% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 75.32% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.58% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.07% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.93% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Maidstone United 52.83%
Draw 25.14%
AFC Hornchurch 22.09%
Maidstone United
1-0 @ 11.83% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.26% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.15% (+0.02)
Total : 52.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.91% (+0.03)
Total : 22.09%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Angelo Balanta 29' goal
  • goal Sam Corne 20'
  • goal Hamzad Kargbo 90'+1'
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Angelo Balanta 7' yellowcard
  • Tom Wraight 67' yellowcard
  • Charlie Pegrum 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Leahy 55'
  • yellowcard Reiss Greenidge 88'
National League South Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • Temi Eweka 5' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Wraight 11'
  • yellowcard Bailey Clements 35'
  • yellowcard Liam Nash 45'+3'