National League South Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 2 - 1 Slough
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Dominic Samuel

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Salisbury 2 - 1 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
George Nikaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw has a probability of 20.89% and a win for Dover Athletic has a probability of 15.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.01%) , while for a Dover Athletic win it is 0-1 (4.86%).

Result

Ebbsfleet 63.26%
Draw 20.89%
Dover Athletic 15.85%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.16%
Under 1.5 21.84%
Over 2.5 55.17%
Under 2.5 44.83%
Over 3.5 32.76%
Under 3.5 67.24%
Over 4.5 20.52%
Under 4.5 79.48%

First Half Winner

Ebbsfleet 42.22%
Draw 39.51%
Dover Athletic 18.27%

Team To Score First

Ebbsfleet 63.67%
No Goal 5.65%
Dover Athletic 30.68%

Corners

Over 8 64.58%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 24.49% (+0.01)
Over 9 52.78% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 35.42%
Over 10.5 41.18% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 58.82% (+0.01)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 1.5 58.4% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 41.6% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 31.55%
Under 2.5 68.45%
Over 3.5 13.76%
Under 3.5 86.24%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 51.5%
Under 0.5 48.5%
Over 1.5 19.62%
Under 1.5 80.38%
Over 2.5 5.26% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.74% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.33%
Under 3.5 98.67%

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 63.27%
Draw 20.91%
Dover Athletic 15.86%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 10.43%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 6.58%
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 13.75%
Total : 63.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.91%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 4.86%
1-2 @ 4.37%
0-2 @ 2.2%
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 15.86%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kenny Coker 56' goal
  • goal Toby Edser 18'
  • goal Dominic Samuel 64'
National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Luke Wanadio 68' goal
  • goal Franklin Domi 33'
  • goal Rakish Bingham 86'
National League South Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 18' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 74' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 85' goal
National League Gameweek 33
Dec 28, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stonebridge Road (Northfleet, Kent)
  • Frankie Sutherland 40' yellowcard
  • Marvel Ekpiteta 86' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Woods 14'
  • yellowcard Josh Passley 26'
  • yellowcard Bobby-Joe Taylor 41'
  • yellowcard Ricky Modeste 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Woods 65'
National League Gameweek 9
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium (Dover, Kent)
  • N. L'Ghoul 26' yellowcard
  • Will De Havilland 53' goal
  • Jai Reason 63' yellowcard
  • Steven Rigg 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ayo Obileye 13'
  • yellowcard Frankie Sutherland 53'
  • yellowcard Jack King 63'
National League Gameweek 54
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stonebridge Road (Northfleet, Kent)
  • Danny Kedwell 62' yellowcard
  • Dean Rance 87' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie Pavey 51'
  • yellowcard Alfie Pavey 71'
  • yellowcard Stuart Lewis 85'
  • yellowcard Inih Effiong 92'