National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 1 Weston

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 3 Eastbourne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town has a probability of 35.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win is 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.26%).

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 35.02% (-0.01)
Draw 25.43%
Chelmsford City 39.6% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.51%
Under 1.5 25.49%
Over 2.5 51.67%
Under 2.5 48.33%
Over 3.5 30.17%
Under 3.5 69.83%
Over 4.5 17.75%
Under 4.5 82.25%

First Half Winner

Hemel Hempstead Town 27.03%
Draw 42.28%
Chelmsford City 30.68%

Team To Score First

Hemel Hempstead Town 44.58% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.93% (-0.02)
Chelmsford City 47.49%

Corners

Over 8 55.12% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.8% (-0.01)
Under 8 33.07% (-0.03)
Over 9 43.35% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 44.88% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 32.57% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.43% (-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 1.5 35.23%
Under 1.5 64.77%
Over 2.5 14.49%
Under 2.5 85.51%
Over 3.5 4.6%
Under 3.5 95.4%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 70.82%
Under 0.5 29.18%
Over 1.5 39.45%
Under 1.5 60.55%
Over 2.5 17.45%
Under 2.5 82.55%
Over 3.5 6.85%
Under 3.5 93.15%

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 35.03%
Draw 25.43%
Chelmsford City 39.6%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.64%
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 35.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.43%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.47%
Other @ 6.84%
Total : 39.6%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 23, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Kane Crichlow 90'+7' goal
National League South
Nov 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Trae Cook-Appiah 49' goal
  • Kyran Wiltshire 59' goal
  • yellowcard 3'
  • redcard 87'
  • redcard 89'
  • redcard <TBD> 89'
  • redcard David Longe-King 89'
  • goal Jett Murphy 90'+10'
National League South Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
National League South Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Saleem Akanbi 14' goal
  • Joe Iaciofano 71' goal
  • Kyle Ajayi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Kalvin Kalala 37'
  • yellowcard Charlie Ruff 43'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 48'
National League South Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Tyreece Briscoe 32' goal
  • goal George Alexander 3'
  • goal Jermaine Francis 28'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 47'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 50'
National League South Gameweek 8
Sep 4, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Charlie Ruff 54' goal
  • goal Joe Iaciofano 77'
  • goal Joe Iaciofano 90'+4'