Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.