National League South
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • Quévin Castro 59' goal
  • goal Ricky Korboa 8'

Eastbourne Borough vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Worthing 2 - 1 Eastbourne
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 1 - 2 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Eastbourne Borough 44.32% (+0.05)
Draw 25.82%
Tonbridge Angels 29.86% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.48% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.6% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 51.54% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.46% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 28.91% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.09% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 15.95% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 84.05% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Eastbourne Borough 32.1%
Draw 43.29%
Tonbridge Angels 24.61%

Team To Score First

Eastbourne Borough 53.19% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.82% (+0.04)
Tonbridge Angels 39.99% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.91% (+0.49)
Equal 8 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.37% (-0.51)
Over 9 47.74% (+0.43)
Equal 9 12.17% (+0.08)
Under 9 40.09% (-0.49)
Over 10.5 36.22% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 63.78% (-0.32)

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 1.5 43.37%
Under 1.5 56.63%
Over 2.5 18.83% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.74% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.26% (+0.03)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 65.48% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 34.52% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 31.92% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.08% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.6% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 88.4% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.48% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.52% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Eastbourne Borough 44.33%
Draw 25.82%
Tonbridge Angels 29.87%
Eastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 10.11% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.37% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.5% (-0.02)
Total : 44.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.82% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.82%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.24% (-0.03)
Total : 29.87%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Bunmi Babajide 36' goal
  • Alfie Pavey 63' goal
  • Alfie Pavey 90'+1' goal
  • goal Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju 7'
  • goal Arthur Grout 17'
  • goal Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju 51'
  • goal Harry Phipps 74'
National League South Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • Freddie Carter 3' goal
  • George Alexander 71' goal
  • goal Bailey Akehurst 9'
  • redcard Nazir Bakrin 69'
National League South Gameweek 11
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • 5' redcard
  • 70' redcard
  • goal Kai Woollard Innocent 36'
  • goal John Shamalo 67'
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Ethan Sutcliffe 36' goal
  • Ben Dudzinski 77' goal
  • redcard Freddie Carter 33'
National League South Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • goal Jamie Fielding 45'+1'
  • goal Jamie Fielding 45'+2'
  • goal Sean Shields 57'
  • goal Sean Shields 58'
  • goal Jordan Greenidge 83'
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • Shiloh Remy 81' goal
  • goal Jack Wood 2'
  • goal Jack Wood 30'