National League South Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne Borough vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Eastbourne 2 - 2 Bath City
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Chesham 1 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tom Leahy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Tonbridge Angels has a probability of 30.07% and a draw has a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win is 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.23%).

Result

Eastbourne Borough 43.56%
Draw 26.37%
Tonbridge Angels 30.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.92%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 25.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 50.64%
Under 2.5 49.36%
Over 3.5 28.05%
Under 3.5 71.95%
Over 4.5 15.57% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.43% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Eastbourne Borough 32.14%
Draw 42.98%
Tonbridge Angels 24.89%

Team To Score First

Eastbourne Borough 51.68%
No Goal 7.3% (-0.01)
Tonbridge Angels 41.02% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.02% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 31.28% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.16% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 42.98% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 34.15% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.86% (+0.02)

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 1.5 42.27%
Under 1.5 57.73%
Over 2.5 18.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.68% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.4%
Under 3.5 93.6%

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 65.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.48% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.58%
Under 1.5 68.42%
Over 2.5 11.49% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.51% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Eastbourne Borough 43.57%
Draw 26.37%
Tonbridge Angels 30.06%
Eastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 10.14% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.16%
Total : 43.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 26.37%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.01)
Total : 30.06%

Head to Head

National League South
Dec 30, 2025 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Bunmi Babajide 36' goal
  • Alfie Pavey 63' goal
  • Alfie Pavey 90'+1' goal
  • goal Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju 7'
  • goal Arthur Grout 17'
  • goal Oluwalopemiwa Aderoju 51'
  • goal Harry Phipps 74'
National League South Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • Freddie Carter 3' goal
  • George Alexander 71' goal
  • goal Bailey Akehurst 9'
  • redcard Nazir Bakrin 69'
National League South Gameweek 11
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • 5' redcard
  • 70' redcard
  • goal Kai Woollard Innocent 36'
  • goal John Shamalo 67'
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Ethan Sutcliffe 36' goal
  • Ben Dudzinski 77' goal
  • redcard Freddie Carter 33'
National League South Gameweek 19
Nov 14, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • goal Jamie Fielding 45'+1'
  • goal Jamie Fielding 45'+2'
  • goal Sean Shields 57'
  • goal Sean Shields 58'
  • goal Jordan Greenidge 83'
National League South Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Priory Lane Stadium
  • Shiloh Remy 81' goal
  • goal Jack Wood 2'
  • goal Jack Wood 30'