Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (9.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.